Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000649 0.000697 0.000745 0.000799 0.000857 0.000918 0.000986
2025-12-07 0.000576 0.000642 0.000712 0.000794 0.000885 0.000985 0.001102
2025-12-14 0.000518 0.000595 0.000680 0.000782 0.000900 0.001033 0.001195
2025-12-21 0.000473 0.000557 0.000654 0.000772 0.000913 0.001076 0.001281
2025-12-28 0.000427 0.000514 0.000616 0.000744 0.000901 0.001088 0.001327
2026-01-04 0.000394 0.000484 0.000591 0.000729 0.000901 0.001111 0.001387
2026-01-11 0.000372 0.000466 0.000579 0.000728 0.000917 0.001153 0.001470
2026-01-18 0.000355 0.000451 0.000570 0.000729 0.000936 0.001198 0.001557
2026-01-25 0.000338 0.000436 0.000560 0.000727 0.000950 0.001236 0.001637
2026-02-01 0.000318 0.000417 0.000543 0.000716 0.000949 0.001255 0.001690
2026-02-08 0.000301 0.000400 0.000528 0.000706 0.000950 0.001276 0.001746
2026-02-15 0.000288 0.000388 0.000518 0.000702 0.000959 0.001306 0.001815
2026-02-22 0.000275 0.000375 0.000508 0.000699 0.000969 0.001341 0.001897
2026-03-01 0.000262 0.000363 0.000499 0.000697 0.000982 0.001381 0.001988
2026-03-08 0.000249 0.000349 0.000485 0.000688 0.000983 0.001404 0.002055
2026-03-15 0.000236 0.000335 0.000473 0.000680 0.000986 0.001428 0.002124
2026-03-22 0.000220 0.000316 0.000451 0.000656 0.000964 0.001415 0.002137
2026-03-29 0.000208 0.000302 0.000436 0.000643 0.000957 0.001423 0.002181
2026-04-05 0.000201 0.000295 0.000430 0.000641 0.000968 0.001459 0.002269
2026-04-12 0.000194 0.000289 0.000426 0.000643 0.000982 0.001501 0.002368
2026-04-19 0.000188 0.000282 0.000420 0.000641 0.000992 0.001536 0.002458
2026-04-26 0.000179 0.000271 0.000409 0.000631 0.000988 0.001547 0.002510
2026-05-03 0.000171 0.000262 0.000399 0.000623 0.000986 0.001562 0.002567